GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/8/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cienciano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Caracas FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cienciano are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cienciano hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cienciano holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cienciano

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caracas FCLWDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CiencianoDDDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Caracas FCCienciano
33.3Attack53.3
48.1Defence63.3
37.0Form50.0
42.5Power54.2
0.78xG1.54
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