GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/24/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Caracas FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico-MG

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caracas FCLLDLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico-MGWLDWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Caracas FCAtletico-MG
33.3Attack42.9
48.1Defence71.4
37.0Form61.9
42.5Power61.2
0.69xG1.28
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