GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Carabobo FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while River Plate are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and River Plate hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carabobo FCDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
River PlateLWWLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Carabobo FCRiver Plate
33.3Attack50.0
72.2Defence83.3
50.0Form77.8
53.2Power72.4
0.74xG0.95
View match centre →