Carabobo FCvs
Mineros de Guayana
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carabobo FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carabobo FC 1-1 Mineros de Guayana
Original prediction
Carabobo FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 07:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.3% | 38.6% | -30.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 19.3% | 25.7% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 7.85 | 11.4% | 35.7% | 24.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Carabobo FC
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Carabobo FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20