GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/6/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Carabobo FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Metropolitanos FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Carabobo FC hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carabobo FCDWDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Metropolitanos FCDLWLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Carabobo FCMetropolitanos FC
33.3Attack0.0
72.2Defence100.0
50.0Form33.3
53.2Power45.3
1.05xG0.77
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