Carabobo FCvs
Estudiantes de Merida FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carabobo FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Carabobo FC 1-0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Carabobo FC 1-0 Estudiantes de Merida FC
Original prediction
Carabobo FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.1% | 58.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.7% | 24.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.61 | 16.2% | 17.4% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Carabobo FC 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Carabobo FC
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Carabobo FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20