Carabobo FCvs
Deportivo Tachira FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/17/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carabobo FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carabobo FC 2-2 Deportivo Tachira FC
Original prediction
Carabobo FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.8% | 38.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.1% | 28.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.1% | 32.8% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Carabobo FC
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Carabobo FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40