Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
De Kempen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cappellen 3-3 De Kempen
Original prediction
De Kempen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.3% | 35.1% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.6% | 25.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.1% | 39.8% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
De Kempen
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
De Kempen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CappellenLLWLD
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
De KempenNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
CappellenDe Kempen
54.4Attack50.0
22.2Defence50.0
34.4Form50.0
37.9Power50.0
1.78xG2.33