Capivariano U20vs
Tanabi SP U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Capivariano U20 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Capivariano U20 2-0 Tanabi SP U20, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Capivariano U20 1-1 Tanabi SP U20
Original prediction
Capivariano U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 67.6% | 69.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.38 | 20.3% | 17.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 7.33 | 12.1% | 12.3% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Capivariano U20 2–0 Tanabi SP U20
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Capivariano U20
Probability
69.9%
Model confidence
69.9%
Capivariano U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 21 · avg 0.60/4.20