Paulista - U20Paulista - U20
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:36
Capivariano U20

Capivariano U20

Home
W
20
Full time
Referencia U20

Referencia U20

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Capivariano U20(39%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Capivariano U20
Win probability
Capivariano U20
39%
Draw
35%
Referencia U20
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Capivariano U20
73
Referencia U20
9
Defence
Capivariano U20
91
Referencia U20
27
Momentum
Capivariano U20
100
Referencia U20
0
Danger (xG)
Capivariano U20
1.80
Referencia U20
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Capivariano U20)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Referencia U20)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Capivariano U20)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Referencia U20)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Capivariano U20Capivariano U20
W
Referencia U20Referencia U20
L

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Capivariano U2039%
Draw35%
Referencia U2026%

Capivariano U20 leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Capivariano U20 head into this in Paulista - U20 fixture in mixed form (W), while Referencia U20 arrive in mixed form (L). Capivariano U20 have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Referencia U20 over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Capivariano U20's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Referencia U20 defence (27/100), while Referencia U20's attack is up against a watertight Capivariano U20 backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Capivariano U20's favour.

Capivariano U20 have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Referencia U20 have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Capivariano U20 have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Capivariano U20 to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Capivariano U20 3866%, Draw 3500%, Referencia U20 2634%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Capivariano U20 1Draws 00 Referencia U20
Avg goals: 2.0
17 Jul 2026
Capivariano U20
W20
Referencia U20

Recent form

Capivariano U20

Capivariano U20

W
vs Referencia U20
17 Jul 2026
20
Referencia U20

Referencia U20

L
@ Capivariano U20
17 Jul 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Capivariano U20 vs Referencia U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Capivariano U20 to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Capivariano U20 vs Referencia U20?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Capivariano U20 vs Referencia U20?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Capivariano U20 vs Referencia U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more