Capital Brasiliavs
Mixto
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Capital Brasilia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Capital Brasilia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mixto are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Capital Brasilia hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Serie D, while Capital Brasilia holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Capital Brasilia
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Capital Brasilia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80