GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Capital Brasilia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Capital Brasilia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CEOV Operário are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Capital Brasilia hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.9% in the Serie D, while Capital Brasilia holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Capital Brasilia

Probability

75.9%

Model confidence

75.9%

Capital Brasilia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Capital BrasiliaWLDLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CEOV OperárioDDLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Capital BrasiliaCEOV Operário
52.4Attack23.3
81.0Defence46.7
71.4Form16.7
69.0Power31.7
2.01xG0.28
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