Cape Verde Islandsvs
Rwanda
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 9/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cape Verde Islands · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cape Verde Islands 1-2 Rwanda
Original prediction
Cape Verde Islands
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.9% | 38.6% | -25.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.7% | 27.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 7.36 | 12.4% | 34.4% | 22.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Cape Verde Islands
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Cape Verde Islands has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80