GGOALVIO

South-Africa · 8 Cup · 8/28/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orlando Pirates · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cape Town City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Orlando Pirates are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Orlando Pirates hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the 8 Cup, while Orlando Pirates holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orlando Pirates

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cape Town CityWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Orlando PiratesWLDWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cape Town CityOrlando Pirates
33.3Attack58.3
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form58.3
23.7Power64.2
1.13xG1.70
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