GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 4/10/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Redlands United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Capalaba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Redlands United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Redlands United hold a 25.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Queensland Premier League, while Redlands United holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Redlands United

Probability

74.5%

Model confidence

9.1%

Redlands United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CapalabaWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Redlands UnitedWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CapalabaRedlands United
31.8Attack60.6
13.6Defence42.4
16.7Form45.5
23.7Power49.2
1.14xG3.21
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