Queensland Premier LeagueQueensland Premier League
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Capalaba

Capalaba

Home
L
30
Full time
Holland Park Hawks

Holland Park Hawks

Away
WW
John Frederick Park
GoalVio prediction
53% confidence
Holland Park Hawks(53%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Capalaba
28%
Draw
19%
Holland Park Hawks
53%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Capalaba
34
Holland Park Hawks
86
Defence
Capalaba
0
Holland Park Hawks
46
Momentum
Capalaba
0
Holland Park Hawks
100
Danger (xG)
Capalaba
0.90
Holland Park Hawks
2.25
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Capalaba)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Holland Park Hawks)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Capalaba)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Holland Park Hawks)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CapalabaCapalaba
L
Holland Park HawksHolland Park Hawks
WWL

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
Capalaba28%
Draw19%
Holland Park Hawks53%

Holland Park Hawks leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Capalaba head into this in Queensland Premier League fixture at John Frederick Park in mixed form (L), while Holland Park Hawks arrive in decent form (WW). Capalaba have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Holland Park Hawks over 2 games.

Tactically, Holland Park Hawks hold the edge. Their elite attack (86/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Capalaba defence (0/100), while Capalaba's attack faces a average Holland Park Hawks backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Capalaba have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Holland Park Hawks have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Capalaba and Holland Park Hawks in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Holland Park Hawks to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Capalaba 2756%, Draw 1942%, Holland Park Hawks 5302%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Capalaba

Capalaba

L
@ Robina City
23 Jun 2026
15
Holland Park Hawks

Holland Park Hawks

W
@ Logan Lightning
23 Jun 2026
32
W
vs St George Willawong
19 Jun 2026
21
L
@ Brisbane Strikers
16 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Capalaba vs Holland Park Hawks?

GoalVio's model predicts Holland Park Hawks to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Capalaba vs Holland Park Hawks?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Capalaba vs Holland Park Hawks?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Capalaba vs Holland Park Hawks?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more