Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Canuelas are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Yupanqui are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Canuelas hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.9% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
26.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80