Canuelasvs
Victoriano Arenas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Canuelas 0-0 Victoriano Arenas, with an exact score probability of 40%.
Prediction record
Final result
Canuelas 2-0 Victoriano Arenas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.3% | 37.4% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 32.7% | 35.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.0% | 27.1% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Canuelas 0–0 Victoriano Arenas
Exact score probability: 40%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CanuelasWWWLL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Victoriano ArenasDDWLD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
CanuelasVictoriano Arenas
39.5Attack25.9
75.3Defence80.2
59.3Form45.7
60.3Power52.9
0.60xG0.34