Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Canuelas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Canuelas 0-0 Fénix, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Canuelas 2-1 Fénix
Original prediction
Canuelas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.4% | 51.8% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.5% | 32.4% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 5.91 | 15.1% | 15.8% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Projected Score
Canuelas 0–0 Fénix
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Canuelas
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Canuelas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CanuelasWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FénixWDLLD
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
CanuelasFénix
41.4Attack24.1
77.0Defence67.8
62.1Form35.6
62.2Power45.0
0.91xG0.29