Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Canuelas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Canuelas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Claypole are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Canuelas hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Primera C, while Canuelas holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Canuelas
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Canuelas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80