Canuelasvs
Central Ballester
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Canuelas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Canuelas 0-0 Central Ballester, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Canuelas 4-0 Central Ballester
Original prediction
Canuelas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.2% | 48.6% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.4% | 32.6% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 5.13 | 17.4% | 18.8% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Projected Score
Canuelas 0–0 Central Ballester
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Canuelas
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Canuelas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CanuelasDWWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Central BallesterLLDWW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CanuelasCentral Ballester
42.2Attack31.1
76.7Defence68.9
63.3Form42.2
62.9Power48.6
0.89xG0.38