GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/14/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cancún are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Venados FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.1-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CancúnDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Venados FCDWDLL

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CancúnVenados FC
16.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form58.3
13.2Power53.2
1.45xG1.95
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