GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/16/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cancún are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.1-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CancúnWDWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Venados FCWDDLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
CancúnVenados FC
16.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form58.3
13.2Power53.2
1.45xG1.95
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