Cancúnvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/19/2023, 11:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cancún are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.1-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20