GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 7/30/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cancún are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Venados FC are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.1-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CancúnDL

GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/2.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Venados FCW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
CancúnVenados FC
16.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form58.3
13.2Power53.2
1.45xG1.95
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