GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cancún · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cancún are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 13.2 against 13.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cancún holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cancún

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Cancún has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CancúnDDWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
TepatitlánWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CancúnTepatitlán
16.7Attack8.3
0.0Defence16.7
0.0Form0.0
13.2Power13.0
1.81xG1.25
View match centre →