Cancúnvs
Tepatitlán
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/3/2024, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cancún · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cancún are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 13.2 against 13.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cancún holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cancún
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Cancún has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00