GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/19/2024, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cancún · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cancún are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 13.2 against 13.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cancún holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cancún

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Cancún has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CancúnWWDWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TepatitlánLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CancúnTepatitlán
16.7Attack8.3
0.0Defence16.7
0.0Form0.0
13.2Power13.0
1.81xG1.25
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