CancúnvsLeones Negros UDG

Cancún are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.