GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/7/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cancún are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones Negros UDG

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CancúnLLDWW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Leones Negros UDGWWWWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CancúnLeones Negros UDG
16.7Attack77.8
0.0Defence44.4
0.0Form66.7
13.2Power63.5
1.30xG2.05
View match centre →