Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cancún are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dorados are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 54.8-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80