GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/6/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cancún are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 48.8-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CancúnWDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Correcaminos UatDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
CancúnCorrecaminos Uat
16.7Attack91.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form58.3
13.2Power62.0
1.43xG2.20
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