Cancúnvs
Cimarrones
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/20/2023, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cimarrones · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cancún are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cimarrones are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cimarrones hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cimarrones
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Cimarrones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20