Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cancún are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CA La Paz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.7-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20