Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cancún are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CA La Paz are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.7-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40