GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/26/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Cancún are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atlante FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 50.8-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

58.2%

Model confidence

58.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CancúnWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCDWLDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CancúnAtlante FC
16.7Attack48.4
0.0Defence78.6
0.0Form63.5
13.2Power63.9
0.69xG1.71
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