CancúnvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Cancún are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.