GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 5/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Canberra Juventus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Lowconfidence

Canberra Juventus are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tuggeranong United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuggeranong United hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.2% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Canberra Juventus holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Canberra Juventus

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

6.2%

Canberra Juventus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Canberra JuventusLWWLW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tuggeranong UnitedWLWWW

GF 19 · GA 11 · avg 3.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Canberra JuventusTuggeranong United
70.4Attack82.5
35.2Defence31.6
61.1Form68.4
55.7Power60.5
3.23xG3.14
View match centre →