Canberra FCvs
Sutherland Sharks
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australian Championship · 10/24/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Canberra FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Canberra FC 0-2 Sutherland Sharks
Original prediction
Canberra FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.30 | 27.8% | 38.3% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.8% | 26.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 48.4% | 35.1% | -13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Canberra FC
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Canberra FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20