Canberra FCvs
Queanbeyan City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Capital Territory NPL · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Canberra FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Canberra FC 1-0 Queanbeyan City
Original prediction
Canberra FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.6% | 64.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 19.8% | 16.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 5.10 | 17.6% | 18.5% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Canberra FC
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Canberra FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 8 · avg 4.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60