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Canada leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Canada head into this in World Cup fixture at BMO Field in mixed form (LWLWD), while Bosnia & Herzegovina arrive in mixed form (LWLD). Canada have a 40% win rate across their last 5 matches, compared to 25% for Bosnia & Herzegovina over 4 games.
Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Canada's strong attack (66/100) faces a vulnerable Bosnia & Herzegovina defence (27/100), while Bosnia & Herzegovina's attack is up against a average Canada backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Canada's favour.
Canada have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Bosnia & Herzegovina have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.
Canada have generated 2.21 xG per game recently while conceding 0.46 xG per match. Bosnia & Herzegovina have generated 0.37 xG per game recently while conceding 0.93 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches.
The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Canada to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Canada 4964%, Draw 2360%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 2676%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
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Canada
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
GoalVio's model predicts Canada to win with 50% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.