Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Canaa EC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Canaa EC 2-1 Luziânia
Original prediction
Canaa EC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.0% | 47.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 26.0% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.1% | 26.3% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Canaa EC
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Canaa EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Canaa ECWLD
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67
BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
LuziâniaLDWLW
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Canaa ECLuziânia
22.2Attack22.2
77.8Defence22.2
44.4Form44.4
51.1Power32.7
1.84xG1.09