Campobasso FCvs
Pineto
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 9/20/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Campobasso FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Campobasso FC 0-0 Pineto, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Campobasso FC 2-2 Pineto
Original prediction
Campobasso FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.1% | 36.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.7% | 29.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.2% | 34.0% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Projected Score
Campobasso FC 0–0 Pineto
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Campobasso FC
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Campobasso FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Campobasso FCDWLDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PinetoDWLDD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Campobasso FCPineto
31.6Attack40.4
59.6Defence57.0
37.7Form50.0
44.8Power51.4
0.85xG0.91