Campobasso FCvs
Perugia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 10/18/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Campobasso FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Campobasso FC 1-5 Perugia
Original prediction
Campobasso FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.2% | 49.3% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.5% | 25.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.3% | 25.6% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Campobasso FC
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Campobasso FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60