GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paranaense - 3 · 8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Campo Mourão · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Campo Mourão are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while União PR are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and União PR hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Paranaense - 3, while Campo Mourão holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Campo Mourão

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

9.7%

Campo Mourão has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Campo MourãoLLLDD

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
União PRWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Campo MourãoUnião PR
75.0Attack66.7
37.5Defence50.0
41.7Form66.7
49.7Power64.8
1.96xG1.69
View match centre →