GGOALVIO

Australia · Australia Cup · 8/14/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Macarthur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Campbelltown City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Macarthur are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Macarthur hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Australia Cup, while Macarthur holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Macarthur

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Macarthur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Campbelltown CityWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MacarthurW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Campbelltown CityMacarthur
33.3Attack66.7
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
47.8Power71.2
1.58xG1.86
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