Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cameroon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cameroon 3-1 Comoros
Original prediction
Cameroon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.4% | 50.6% | -17.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.5% | 26.7% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 9.07 | 10.1% | 22.7% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Cameroon
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Cameroon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CameroonDWDLL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ComorosWLWWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CameroonComoros
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence41.7
44.4Form25.0
51.1Power35.5
1.38xG0.85