Cambuurvs
NEC Nijmegen
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 9/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NEC Nijmegen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cambuur 3-0 NEC Nijmegen
Original prediction
NEC Nijmegen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.90 | 19.2% | 21.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 20.6% | 20.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 60.2% | 57.7% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
NEC Nijmegen
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
NEC Nijmegen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40