Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cambuur 0-4 Excelsior
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.3%
Model confidence
10.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CambuurWLDDL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ExcelsiorWDWWD
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CambuurExcelsior
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power97.0
1.31xG1.96