GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cambridge United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cambridge United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cambridge United hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Cambridge United holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cambridge United

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Cambridge United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cambridge UnitedDWDLL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Tottenham Hotspur U21LWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/2.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
Cambridge UnitedTottenham Hotspur U21
55.6Attack77.8
44.4Defence22.2
33.3Form33.3
44.0Power41.2
2.16xG1.82
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